PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zywang

0xca2a0ca467c763cef83085caca47d1dd8d058e86

Realised P&L
$-0.54
Volume
$302.10
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$47.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 21? · No0.8100.770$15.40$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 22? · No0.7700.820$13.69+$0.83
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? · No0.6500.645$6.45$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22? · No0.7400.665$4.55$0.51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? · No0.8000.790$3.95$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22? · No0.7400.730$3.65$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 15:13Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22?SELL0.9$9.53
09-20 13:22Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22?SELL0.89$19.01
09-20 10:06Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.77$12.85
09-20 10:03Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?BUY0.65$6.50
09-20 07:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.74$3.70
09-20 07:02Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.82$17.52
09-20 06:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.8$4.00
09-20 06:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.8199999981$8.69
09-20 06:12Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22?BUY0.74$5.06
09-20 04:01Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.81$16.20
09-20 02:05Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 21?SELL0.93$4.94
09-19 11:29Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 21?BUY0.83$4.41
09-17 06:07Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?SELL0.46$40.16
09-17 06:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.48$2.16
09-17 06:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?BUY0.48$39.75