zywang
0xca2a0ca467c763cef83085caca47d1dd8d058e86
- Realised P&L
- $-0.54
- Volume
- $302.10
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $47.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 21? · No | 0.810 | 0.770 | $15.40 | −$0.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 22? · No | 0.770 | 0.820 | $13.69 | +$0.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? · No | 0.650 | 0.645 | $6.45 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22? · No | 0.740 | 0.665 | $4.55 | −$0.51 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? · No | 0.800 | 0.790 | $3.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22? · No | 0.740 | 0.730 | $3.65 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.23at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22?
- +$0.72at 0.827Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22?
- +$0.48at 0.837Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 21?
- +$-3.92at 0.492Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.53 |
| 09-20 13:22 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.89 | $19.01 |
| 09-20 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.77 | $12.85 |
| 09-20 10:03 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 09-20 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-20 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.82 | $17.52 |
| 09-20 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-20 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8199999981 | $8.69 |
| 09-20 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.06 |
| 09-20 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 09-20 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.93 | $4.94 |
| 09-19 11:29 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.41 |
| 09-17 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.46 | $40.16 |
| 09-17 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.16 |
| 09-17 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.48 | $39.75 |