MarketMaxx
0xca29f929fd8764a0d6d0252983ab6dfe152aedb0
- Realised P&L
- $1.94
- Volume
- $123.68
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $35.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19? · No | 0.979 | 0.979 | $6.48 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 19? · No | 0.978 | 0.978 | $6.48 | −$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 18? · No | 0.973 | 0.970 | $6.45 | −$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 18? · No | 0.910 | 1.000 | $5.05 | +$0.45 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 18? · No | 0.970 | 0.835 | $4.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 18? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $2.84 | +$0.06 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -3°C or below on October 18? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.380 | $2.51 | −$3.44 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 18? · No | 0.952 | 0.270 | $1.68 | −$4.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.25at 0.962Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16?
- +$0.24at 0.963Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 16?
- +$0.19at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 17?
- +$0.19at 0.971Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 16?
- +$0.19at 0.971Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 09:49 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.9099999921 | $4.60 |
| 10-18 07:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9702970086 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 06:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be -3°C or below on October 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.95 |
| 10-18 06:22 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.952 | $5.95 |
| 10-18 06:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.9729999979 | $6.47 |
| 10-18 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.9779999991 | $6.48 |
| 10-18 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.9789999988 | $6.48 |
| 10-17 09:22 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.78 |
| 10-16 13:03 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.32 |
| 10-16 12:16 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.32 |
| 10-16 08:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.9699999985 | $6.32 |
| 10-16 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.9699999985 | $6.32 |
| 10-16 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.32 |
| 10-15 23:11 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.9699999985 | $6.32 |
| 10-15 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.977226874 | $6.32 |