Aviatorul
0xca289809d28e06d2dc39ca6c0f28c5672bca4e91
- Realised P&L
- $-37.1k
- Volume
- $3.74M
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $13.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $13.1k | −$7.7k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.135 | $639.47 | −$63.53 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.045 | $115.07 | −$63.93 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.30at 0.0152026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
- +$-1.17at 0.041Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
- +$-5.23at 0.045Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$-50.00at 0.016Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$-190.85at 0.028Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:09 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 15:24 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:11 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 06:34 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 10:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 02:32 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0077517878 | $6.00 |
| 09-09 11:07 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 08:26 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999996 | $179.00 |
| 09-07 08:21 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 09-07 08:19 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0072712757 | $379.00 |
| 09-05 06:24 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0036363636 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 11:49 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0049899558 | $49.68 |
| 09-04 08:25 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004895469 | $23.00 |
| 09-03 07:57 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0036546235 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 05:31 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $300.00 |