Aviatorul
0xca289809d28e06d2dc39ca6c0f28c5672bca4e91
- Realised P&L
- $-30.4k
- Volume
- $3.58M
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $19.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.009 | $18.9k | −$1.2k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.085 | $22.18 | −$3.89 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.145 | $1.78 | −$0.22 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.024 | $1.15 | −$0.85 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.14at 0.0142026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
- +$-5.23at 0.045Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$-50.00at 0.016Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$-190.85at 0.028Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$-3.0kat 0.146Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:26 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999955 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 01:16 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:09 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999955 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.013 | $1.86 |
| 08-01 02:05 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0139999932 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 01:45 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 02:37 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008999997 | $3.00 |
| 07-28 18:54 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $4.94 |
| 07-25 13:33 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1632025547 | $2.00 |
| 07-24 17:31 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008999997 | $3.00 |
| 07-22 13:31 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 08:53 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 08:06 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $2.00 |
| 07-15 10:14 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $3.00 |
| 07-13 03:28 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008999997 | $3.00 |