Aviatorul
0xca289809d28e06d2dc39ca6c0f28c5672bca4e91
- Realised P&L
- $-30.6k
- Volume
- $4.45M
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $34.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.011 | $34.6k | +$7.1k |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.30at 0.0152026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
- +$-1.17at 0.041Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
- +$-5.23at 0.045Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$-50.00at 0.016Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$-127.15at 0.061Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 10:09 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0137952509 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 09:48 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0138661855 | $2.0k |
| 10-28 09:46 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.0793315581 | $2.5k |
| 10-28 00:43 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.50 |
| 10-27 01:29 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.60 |
| 10-26 09:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.60 |
| 10-25 02:03 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999973 | $2.90 |
| 10-24 01:16 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0121055326 | $2.50 |
| 10-23 00:18 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.90 |
| 10-22 06:06 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012666363 | $2.90 |
| 10-21 01:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.90 |
| 10-20 01:32 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.87 |
| 10-19 02:49 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.014 | $2.78 |
| 10-18 05:07 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0129732123 | $2.93 |
| 10-17 02:48 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0137009882 | $3.07 |