PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Aviatorul

0xca289809d28e06d2dc39ca6c0f28c5672bca4e91

Realised P&L
$-30.4k
Volume
$3.58M
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$19.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.009$18.9k$1.2k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$22.18$3.89
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1630.145$1.78$0.22
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0410.024$1.15$0.85
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$9.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:26Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999955$2.00
08-02 01:16Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008999991$1.00
08-01 19:09Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999955$2.00
08-01 03:072026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.013$1.86
08-01 02:052026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.0139999932$2.00
07-31 01:45Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008999991$1.00
07-30 02:37Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008999997$3.00
07-28 18:54Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999982$4.94
07-25 13:33Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1632025547$2.00
07-24 17:31Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008999997$3.00
07-22 13:31Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999982$5.00
07-19 08:53Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999982$5.00
07-16 08:06Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$2.00
07-15 10:14Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$3.00
07-13 03:28Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.008999997$3.00