PolyBot

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Traders

mironachendller

0xca228d21352290b8dbffa0d1320296714e5396ec

Realised P&L
$3.0k
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$97.66

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar15.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.974$49.26+$0.20
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? · No0.9610.968$48.40+$0.35
Giants vs. Pirates · Giants0.5600.000$0.00−$935.20
Lynx vs Liberty · Lynx0.4700.000$0.00−$979.95
Blue Jays vs. Orioles · Blue Jays0.5100.000$0.00−$467.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-03 11:50Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.984$19.68
02-20 12:28Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.943$23.90
08-21 11:43Solana Up or Down on August 22?BUY0.5$970.00
08-14 11:14Ethereum Up or Down on August 16?BUY0.5$518.00
08-11 07:43Solana Up or Down on August 12?BUY0.5$891.00
07-29 12:29Blue Jays vs. OriolesBUY0.51$467.16
04-16 10:35Ducks vs. JetsBUY0.7249596226$304.00
04-15 11:46Kansas City Royals vs. New York YankeesBUY0.6599999993$240.00
04-14 06:36Utah vs. PredatorsBUY0.5613858137$191.00
04-10 11:39Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.46$161.00
04-09 06:48Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.48$288.00
04-07 10:4976ers vs. HeatBUY0.8999999994$440.00
03-31 08:47Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4?BUY0.7699999994$301.00
03-26 08:00Bucks vs. NuggetsBUY0.64$215.00
03-25 06:18Predators vs. HurricanesBUY0.2998251005$120.00