mironachendller
0xca228d21352290b8dbffa0d1320296714e5396ec
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $97.66
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.974 | $49.26 | +$0.20 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? · No | 0.961 | 0.968 | $48.40 | +$0.35 |
| Giants vs. Pirates · Giants | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$935.20 |
| Lynx vs Liberty · Lynx | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$979.95 |
| Blue Jays vs. Orioles · Blue Jays | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$467.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$970.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 22?
- +$891.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on August 12?
- +$811.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 8?
- +$543.16at 0.630White Sox vs. Braves
- +$518.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on August 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 11:50 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.984 | $19.68 |
| 02-20 12:28 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.943 | $23.90 |
| 08-21 11:43 | Solana Up or Down on August 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $970.00 |
| 08-14 11:14 | Ethereum Up or Down on August 16? | BUY | 0.5 | $518.00 |
| 08-11 07:43 | Solana Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.5 | $891.00 |
| 07-29 12:29 | Blue Jays vs. Orioles | BUY | 0.51 | $467.16 |
| 04-16 10:35 | Ducks vs. Jets | BUY | 0.7249596226 | $304.00 |
| 04-15 11:46 | Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $240.00 |
| 04-14 06:36 | Utah vs. Predators | BUY | 0.5613858137 | $191.00 |
| 04-10 11:39 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.46 | $161.00 |
| 04-09 06:48 | Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.48 | $288.00 |
| 04-07 10:49 | 76ers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.8999999994 | $440.00 |
| 03-31 08:47 | Bitcoin above $86,000 on April 4? | BUY | 0.7699999994 | $301.00 |
| 03-26 08:00 | Bucks vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.64 | $215.00 |
| 03-25 06:18 | Predators vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.2998251005 | $120.00 |