PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCa21960EBeafbF2FDc40d95DC10C04ACE133b07c-1730867105201

0xca21960ebeafbf2fdc40d95dc10c04ace133b07c

Realised P&L
$-119.4k
Volume
$5.08M
Markets traded
528
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded528
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5 · Under0.5290.525$1.1k−$8.35
Nets vs. Pacers · Nets0.7200.845$666.61+$98.61
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.7100.705$298.21−$2.11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5500.650$135.91+$20.91
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Milwaukee Brewers0.6800.000$0.00−$4.8k
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? · Yes0.3510.000$0.00−$89.12
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$130.70
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.8590.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$100.00
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers · Kansas City Royals0.7200.000$0.00−$700.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$40.00
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 206.5 · Over0.0100.000$0.00−$0.14
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · No0.4650.000$0.00−$100.00
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00−$236.48
Clippers vs. Thunder · Clippers0.2020.000$0.00−$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:22Nets vs. PacersSELL0.8186646667$491.20
11-01 23:47Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5BUY0.53$1.0k
11-01 23:45Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5BUY0.52$111.91
11-01 23:40Nets vs. PacersBUY0.7199999999$1000.00
11-01 23:02Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 206.5BUY0.01$0.14
11-01 18:552026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.71$300.33
11-01 01:16Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.2199999974$10.00
11-01 00:46Thunder vs. RocketsBUY0.4499999984$100.00
11-01 00:142026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.29$250.00
10-31 02:05Knicks vs. 76ersSELL0.0035238005$1.31
10-31 01:56Knicks vs. 76ersBUY0.93$8.0k
10-31 01:04Knicks vs. 76ersBUY0.2699999995$100.00
10-29 03:43Lakers vs. ClippersBUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-29 03:43Lakers vs. ClippersBUY0.1099999999$10.00
10-29 03:42Thunder vs. MavericksBUY0.9299999999$600.00