988ll
0xca2149e3ab965a79040078e81144f44b74fc0d47
- Realised P&L
- $-66.28
- Volume
- $87.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $9.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $9.90 | −$89.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.60at 0.008Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.06at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26?
- +$1.00at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1?
- +$0.16at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 February 2-8?
- +$0.00at 0.008Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 11:26 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $103.01 |
| 02-13 03:01 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $82.40 |
| 02-11 02:56 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $82.39 |
| 02-05 08:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 February 2-8? | BUY | 0.998 | $82.22 |
| 01-27 12:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 January 26-1? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 01-26 04:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 26? | BUY | 0.9869999898 | $80.17 |