uijhkftf
0xca1cca63cc8ec22701519c01501c01469e6710a0
- Realised P&L
- $-17.88
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $4.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.996 | 0.984 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Kings vs. Knicks · Kings | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Thunder vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.47at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
- +$3.64at 0.748Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 27-August 2?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:10 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 08:53 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.997999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 05:42 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on June 13? | BUY | 0.9989998345 | $6.00 |
| 06-13 05:28 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.992 | $9.99 |
| 05-28 07:51 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 04-22 03:13 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.21 |
| 04-16 02:28 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.92 |
| 03-17 08:01 | Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $9.76 |
| 03-11 07:58 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.86 |
| 03-07 08:12 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.87 |
| 03-04 05:24 | Thunder vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 02-12 09:09 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $335.10 |
| 02-12 05:24 | Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $335.44 |
| 02-12 05:21 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $339.46 |
| 02-12 01:31 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $339.81 |