0xCA1c4E9F6705AB5c4F12d91abfc067Fd5b53Fb26-1745878445375
0xca1c4e9f6705ab5c4f12d91abfc067fd5b53fb26
- Realised P&L
- $-6.1k
- Volume
- $45.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $532.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.304 | 0.055 | $532.82 | −$2.4k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes | 0.162 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.99 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.02 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.385 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-22 04:17 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $313.50 |
| 03-22 04:17 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 03-22 04:16 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.53 |
| 03-22 04:16 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $124.00 |
| 03-22 01:56 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $271.79 |
| 03-21 16:38 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.1k |
| 03-21 14:15 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.0k |
| 03-21 14:13 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $740.55 |
| 03-20 14:05 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.3846468686 | $100.00 |
| 03-20 14:04 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |