PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kkh7dvc

0xca15fa63af4f8438edc7214b2cdfc0896145a949

Realised P&L
$84.18
Volume
$873.81
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$15.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21? · Yes0.9920.974$15.40−$0.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$3.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:47US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?BUY0.992$15.69
09-20 07:18Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.975$7.38
08-12 11:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.985999986$7.46
08-04 07:20Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.85$50.25
08-03 10:04Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.792$60.63
08-02 07:27Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.808$49.60
07-22 07:17Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.96$43.39
07-16 08:38Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.9669999817$50.99
07-09 11:02Israel closes its airspace by July 15?BUY0.9399999987$29.98
07-03 10:05Iran successfully targets shipping on July 5?BUY0.9559999831$19.03
06-27 07:52Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?BUY0.9399999822$22.18
06-21 16:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.94$55.28
06-10 12:10US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?BUY0.95$60.19
06-05 10:21Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?BUY0.0699999876$5.13
05-28 10:53Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?BUY0.9389999593$13.32