PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Timolol45

0xca12871dd77e8c09c650005753334d1a0e18e855

Realised P&L
$141.96
Volume
$114.2k
Markets traded
252
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded252
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · Yes0.9000.944$944.00+$44.00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? · No0.9450.930$787.41−$12.59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.9100.885$778.02−$21.98
Cavaliers vs. Pistons · Pistons0.6300.000$0.00−$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 14:17US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?SELL0.996$996.00
10-07 12:05US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?BUY0.9448693591$800.00
10-07 12:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.9099999999$800.00
10-06 16:07Spread: Argentina (-2.5)BUY0.8699999999$750.00
10-05 12:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?BUY0.9$900.00
10-03 21:34Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.9$500.00
10-02 00:36US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?BUY0.9$900.00
10-01 04:15Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?SELL0.999$799.19
10-01 00:41Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?SELL0.995$865.21
09-30 20:39US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.999$288.59
09-30 18:38Will Argentina win on 2026-09-30?BUY0.92$800.00
09-25 19:45US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8999999997$260.00
09-25 13:03Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.9182881045$486.26
05-25 05:18Israel closes its airspace by May 24?SELL0.999$226.82
05-21 20:17Israel closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.8808392709$200.00