PolyBot

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Traders

0xca0522e43985adbfbce29e758b29bdfe80bf2dd7

0xca0522e43985adbfbce29e758b29bdfe80bf2dd7

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$238.3k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$56.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes0.1400.032$56.25−$193.75
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$499.99
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$499.99
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00−$1.7k
Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$999.99
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$499.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 23:28Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4049999999$1.7k
07-13 23:26Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0339940671$500.00
07-13 23:26Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?BUY0.0889446978$1000.00
06-30 11:10Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.015$500.00
06-19 22:27Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.06$300.00
06-15 01:14Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.021$500.00
06-14 05:31Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.999$4.7k
05-15 13:41Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.071$738.86
05-15 13:41Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.0677766863$277.77
05-10 17:01Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.001$15.61
05-08 03:38Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0083518422$84.17
05-07 16:15Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0960945767$1000.00
05-04 12:11Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0609999998$250.00
05-03 21:07Magic vs. PistonsSELL0.06$57.69
05-03 16:03Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.0320407245$500.00