0xca0522e43985adbfbce29e758b29bdfe80bf2dd7
0xca0522e43985adbfbce29e758b29bdfe80bf2dd7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $238.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $56.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.032 | $56.25 | −$193.75 |
| Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.99 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.99 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.405 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.7k |
| Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.99 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.055Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$491.70at 0.34076ers vs. Celtics
- +$22.50at 0.062Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-52.95at 0.001Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 2?
- +$-192.57at 0.027Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 23:28 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4049999999 | $1.7k |
| 07-13 23:26 | Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0339940671 | $500.00 |
| 07-13 23:26 | Will Ben Rice win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.0889446978 | $1000.00 |
| 06-30 11:10 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.015 | $500.00 |
| 06-19 22:27 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.06 | $300.00 |
| 06-15 01:14 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $500.00 |
| 06-14 05:31 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.7k |
| 05-15 13:41 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.071 | $738.86 |
| 05-15 13:41 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0677766863 | $277.77 |
| 05-10 17:01 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.001 | $15.61 |
| 05-08 03:38 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0083518422 | $84.17 |
| 05-07 16:15 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0960945767 | $1000.00 |
| 05-04 12:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0609999998 | $250.00 |
| 05-03 21:07 | Magic vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.06 | $57.69 |
| 05-03 16:03 | Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0320407245 | $500.00 |