KeepCalmRelax
0xca015897afbb81c02e47ed5875e888a33ddb900c
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $56.7k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $323.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$443.38at 0.290Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 24?
- +$408.95at 0.238Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 25?
- +$304.41at 0.524Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 29?
- +$243.79at 0.079Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 25?
- +$241.72at 0.620Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.6943267211 | $178.51 |
| 10-31 19:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.8473910775 | $64.96 |
| 10-31 17:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.84 | $22.04 |
| 10-31 17:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.82 | $37.34 |
| 10-31 17:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.24 |
| 10-31 15:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 10-31 15:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $343.52 |
| 10-31 15:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.81 |
| 10-31 14:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.15 | $19.17 |
| 10-31 14:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.1170341207 | $6.69 |
| 10-31 14:24 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-31 14:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.15 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 14:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.25 |
| 10-31 14:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.89 | $39.87 |
| 10-31 14:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1? | SELL | 0.8943668753 | $185.76 |