KeepCalmRelax
0xca015897afbb81c02e47ed5875e888a33ddb900c
- Realised P&L
- $-475.71
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $205.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.998 | $204.78 | +$109.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.367 | 0.002 | $0.31 | −$74.72 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 9? · Yes | 0.728 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$376.94 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET · Down | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 10? · Yes | 0.895 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$352.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$107.97at 0.658Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 8?
- +$97.62at 0.878Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?
- +$72.00at 0.808US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
- +$30.26at 0.915Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 9?
- +$24.81at 0.710Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.47 | $30.55 |
| 09-17 00:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2944768818 | $18.66 |
| 09-16 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.47 | $30.55 |
| 09-16 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.46 | $34.63 |
| 09-16 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.3992916342 | $56.37 |
| 09-16 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.34 |
| 09-16 06:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8741041598 | $26.69 |
| 09-16 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $23.51 |
| 09-16 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8446153846 | $21.96 |
| 09-13 17:03 | Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $60.00 |
| 09-11 08:18 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov | BUY | 0.8 | $300.00 |
| 09-11 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $287.87 |
| 09-11 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.3646291667 | $8.75 |
| 09-11 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.4111504425 | $46.46 |
| 09-11 04:03 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.68 |