PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KeepCalmRelax

0xca015897afbb81c02e47ed5875e888a33ddb900c

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$56.7k
Markets traded
143
Open portfolio
$323.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded143
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1? · Yes0.4350.998$319.79+$180.22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C or below on November 1? · Yes0.0880.005$0.86−$14.37
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2? · Yes0.6940.003$0.64−$177.87
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 1? · Yes0.0880.004$0.60−$14.63
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on November 1? · Yes0.0880.003$0.43−$14.80
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on November 1? · Yes0.0880.003$0.43−$14.80
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 1? · Yes0.0880.001$0.17−$15.06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? · Yes0.0880.001$0.17−$15.06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on November 1? · Yes0.0880.001$0.09−$15.14
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1? · Yes0.0880.001$0.07−$11.63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$20.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 8? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00−$38.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$26.05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$20.72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$20.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:04Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 2?BUY0.6943267211$178.51
10-31 19:30Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.8473910775$64.96
10-31 17:19Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.84$22.04
10-31 17:19Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 1?BUY0.82$37.34
10-31 17:19Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.24
10-31 15:42Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?BUY0.89$44.50
10-31 15:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 31?SELL0.995$343.52
10-31 15:05Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.15$9.81
10-31 14:32Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?BUY0.15$19.17
10-31 14:32Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?SELL0.1170341207$6.69
10-31 14:24Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1?SELL0.001$0.04
10-31 14:23Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?SELL0.15$6.00
10-31 14:13Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 1?SELL0.17$4.25
10-31 14:07Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.89$39.87
10-31 14:07Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 1?SELL0.8943668753$185.76