tosid
0xc9ed50def028078a59bbd11327f6546b00941db7
- Realised P&L
- $-136.40
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $71.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.11at 0.180Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?
- +$33.75at 0.550US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
- +$25.80at 0.140Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
- +$22.23at 0.732Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$19.20at 0.680Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:10 | Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-19 18:48 | Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany? | BUY | 0.059 | $2.95 |
| 10-19 18:42 | Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.9 | $27.00 |
| 10-19 18:40 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.86 | $34.40 |
| 05-10 11:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.8 | $24.00 |
| 05-02 09:59 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $13.80 |
| 05-02 09:55 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 09:51 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 09:50 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 09:48 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 05-02 09:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? | BUY | 0.61 | $42.70 |
| 04-25 13:40 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.3399999422 | $1.92 |
| 04-25 13:39 | Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-25? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.06 |
| 04-24 16:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.74 |
| 04-24 16:52 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.70 |