PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tosid

0xc9ed50def028078a59bbd11327f6546b00941db7

Realised P&L
$-136.40
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$71.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Yes0.8600.870$39.15+$0.45
Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes0.9000.648$19.45−$7.54
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0320.013$5.50−$8.58
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026? · No0.9970.991$4.96−$0.03
Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.0590.050$2.50−$0.45
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-25? · Yes0.1640.000$0.00−$1.12
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30? · No0.8900.000$0.00−$31.15
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1310.000$0.00−$1.31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? · No0.3040.000$0.00−$54.66
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$3.90
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25? · Yes0.3470.000$0.00−$2.00
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 19:10Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026?BUY0.997$4.99
10-19 18:48Will Boris Pistorius be the next Chancellor of Germany?BUY0.059$2.95
10-19 18:42Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?BUY0.9$27.00
10-19 18:40Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.86$34.40
05-10 11:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.8$24.00
05-02 09:59Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?BUY0.92$13.80
05-02 09:55Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.7199999654$5.00
05-02 09:51Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?BUY0.5699999555$5.00
05-02 09:50Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-02?BUY0.3899999774$5.00
05-02 09:48Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
05-02 09:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?BUY0.61$42.70
04-25 13:40Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.3399999422$1.92
04-25 13:39Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-25?BUY0.16$1.06
04-24 16:54WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 24?BUY0.96$5.74
04-24 16:52Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-24?BUY0.13$3.70