quwangyi
0xc9ea8f2daa4e4b6ef010889a112d524b2bfc2203
- Realised P&L
- $0.04
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $16.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $15.19 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · No | 0.810 | 0.835 | $1.68 | +$0.05 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Up | 0.128 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.46 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.22 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Warren Buffett be richest person on October 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ducks vs. Blues · Blues | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.92at 0.630Spurs vs. Cavaliers
- +$0.49at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?
- +$0.44at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.880US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
- +$0.34at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:31 | Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.20 |
| 10-06 08:30 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.8099999901 | $1.63 |
| 09-02 11:19 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.90 |
| 09-02 11:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.64 |
| 08-28 08:15 | Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.50 |
| 07-19 08:43 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $16.30 |
| 06-07 11:23 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $174.00 |
| 05-30 07:00 | Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 06:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.80 |
| 05-30 06:48 | Will Solana dip to $70 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.9984828098 | $148.00 |
| 05-26 11:06 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? | BUY | 0.987999996 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:06 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | BUY | 0.99799901 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:05 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.9839991577 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:05 | Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31? | BUY | 0.9329999394 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 11:05 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9969990269 | $1.00 |