0xC9dA7309EF490036Bd551d953169707d6aACd3b9-1775439656083
0xc9da7309ef490036bd551d953169707d6aacd3b9
- Realised P&L
- $-102.51
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $6.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.14at 0.820Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$-0.19at 0.189Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.37at 0.206Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-6.54at 0.125Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 21:43 | Will Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.747 | $7.47 |
| 09-28 17:34 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.0691792597 | $7.72 |
| 09-22 22:25 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1209999999 | $13.50 |
| 07-12 04:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3849999645 | $5.85 |
| 07-12 04:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.202 | $6.30 |
| 07-11 23:14 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0190000004 | $1.31 |
| 07-11 23:12 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.43 |
| 07-09 01:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2009999799 | $6.27 |
| 07-09 01:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.187 | $6.10 |
| 07-07 06:06 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3319999888 | $17.00 |
| 07-07 06:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1839999787 | $6.00 |
| 07-07 06:05 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999896 | $5.00 |
| 04-11 17:00 | Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0296110414 | $2.36 |
| 04-11 16:59 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.82 | $2.36 |
| 04-08 21:04 | Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1899999477 | $2.65 |