0xc9d53e69f81ddae2d5fab5a6cbc2163179a27e9b
0xc9d53e69f81ddae2d5fab5a6cbc2163179a27e9b
- Realised P&L
- $-15.17
- Volume
- $367.17
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $34.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.987 | $25.39 | +$23.39 |
| Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.449 | 1.000 | $8.91 | +$4.91 |
| Will Gleisi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$1.96 |
| Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.003 | $0.02 | −$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.07at 0.600Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.39at 0.680Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$2.09at 0.700Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
- +$-0.41at 0.219Will France win on 2026-07-14?
- +$-0.55at 0.015Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:36 | Will Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera win the next Trujillo mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.0777378896 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 11:32 | Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 11:25 | Will Gleisi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.0267766824 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 11:14 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4489999984 | $4.00 |
| 07-14 19:40 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | SELL | 0.185 | $1.76 |
| 07-14 19:23 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 01:06 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | SELL | 0.0075 | $0.50 |
| 07-03 01:05 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 18:43 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.3699999695 | $4.00 |
| 06-17 17:53 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 11:43 | Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5899999902 | $6.00 |
| 06-17 11:39 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 06:49 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.7599999886 | $8.00 |
| 06-17 06:40 | Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 21:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6899999842 | $4.80 |