Lowndes
0xc9c4d52e3d719e72430ddd3706c19abff0b25ee5
- Realised P&L
- $116.92
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $0.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by September 30? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.041 | $0.82 | +$0.34 |
| Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5) · Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.79 |
| Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5) · Independiente del Valle | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.20at 0.942Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)
- +$28.01at 0.922Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- +$25.28at 0.963Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)
- +$18.53at 0.972Spread: Petrojet SC (-2.5)
- +$18.40at 0.974Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 01:56 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | BUY | 0.951 | $437.45 |
| 07-07 08:26 | UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | BUY | 0.964 | $443.44 |
| 06-02 07:48 | Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks? | BUY | 0.92 | $331.20 |
| 05-21 04:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.065 | $21.64 |
| 05-20 06:05 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $22.31 |
| 05-11 11:22 | Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5) | BUY | 0.973 | $683.05 |
| 05-11 10:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | BUY | 0.951 | $684.71 |
| 05-09 06:02 | Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5) | BUY | 0.962 | $658.97 |
| 05-09 04:45 | Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $657.94 |
| 05-08 04:18 | Spread: Petrojet SC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.971 | $638.92 |
| 05-08 03:49 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $635.35 |
| 05-07 06:14 | Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5) | BUY | 0.94 | $599.72 |
| 05-07 04:54 | Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | BUY | 0.988 | $594.78 |
| 04-09 07:41 | Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5) | SELL | 0.01 | $0.26 |
| 04-09 07:40 | Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5) | SELL | 0.01 | $0.63 |