PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Hono

0xc9c170873e07e44e1c2979a35821d5949c00de26

Realised P&L
$-11.63
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$95.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2690.305$69.39+$8.11
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.051$15.45$14.55
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1450.050$10.24$19.76
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$17.20
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 31-September 6? · No0.4100.000$0.00$30.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 11? · No0.5500.000$0.00$30.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? · No0.6610.000$0.00$40.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 11:32Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 11?BUY0.5499999964$30.60
09-02 11:10Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 August 31-September 6?BUY0.4099999959$30.00
08-27 16:20Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.7369999998$29.00
08-27 16:18Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL0.3790977504$47.35
08-27 16:17StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.47$21.02
08-27 16:17Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.770600024$64.21
08-21 13:28Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.2693407104$61.28
08-21 13:27Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.8746666667$65.60
08-21 13:25Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.6629999965$15.00
08-21 13:24Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?SELL0.9816447453$15.23
08-05 09:57Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.5799999871$9.00
08-05 09:56StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.4472084411$20.00
08-05 09:56US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.042804717$5.00
06-02 20:11Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETBUY0.5099999541$4.00
06-02 20:06Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.8$3.00