DK2027
0xc9b5945c13a0b2f47852c4f71e7312a0a9d26207
- Realised P&L
- $-416.60
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $195.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.295 | $121.83 | −$64.77 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.115 | $73.30 | −$6.70 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.15at 0.215Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?
- +$-20.66at 0.188Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$-66.40at 0.273Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
- +$-66.60at 0.041Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
- +$-92.85at 0.304Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.1255183234 | $80.00 |
| 10-01 05:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.4700010549 | $180.00 |
| 10-01 05:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.60 |
| 09-29 10:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.07 | $11.84 |
| 09-28 06:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.1773981594 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 12:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1859999988 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 12:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.3598748092 | $23.57 |
| 09-22 10:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2289999979 | $15.00 |
| 09-22 09:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | SELL | 0.018966645 | $6.14 |
| 09-22 09:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.05 | $14.64 |
| 09-22 09:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | SELL | 0.216 | $60.67 |
| 09-22 09:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.030525958 | $35.93 |
| 09-21 15:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.0553485625 | $65.14 |
| 09-21 11:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2039822003 | $57.30 |
| 09-18 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999998 | $76.12 |