bendaioq
0xc9b26fbaa045b05b21f901b6b76e9ceb64a61f92
- Realised P&L
- $-32.14
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $39.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulane vs. Kansas State · Kansas State | 0.920 | 0.915 | $23.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No | 0.360 | 0.375 | $15.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.815 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.86at 0.070Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
- +$25.22at 0.618Timberwolves vs. Mavericks
- +$22.29at 0.646Raptors vs. Knicks
- +$18.52at 0.377Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
- +$15.84at 0.657Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 06:37 | Tulane vs. Kansas State | BUY | 0.92 | $24.00 |
| 09-12 10:16 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9219999997 | $34.00 |
| 08-30 05:05 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $22.00 |
| 08-13 05:19 | Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group A | BUY | 0.6599999974 | $25.00 |
| 08-13 05:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August? | BUY | 0.9860608937 | $21.00 |
| 08-04 07:06 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9769999994 | $22.00 |
| 07-17 13:11 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999954 | $21.00 |
| 07-17 13:10 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.8883548961 | $27.00 |
| 07-08 12:11 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 07-08 11:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8149999981 | $21.00 |
| 07-08 11:17 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.7799999944 | $25.00 |
| 06-25 11:38 | Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | BUY | 0.779999998 | $31.00 |
| 06-25 11:37 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6499999946 | $30.00 |
| 06-17 07:18 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 07:15 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.9529999726 | $34.00 |