0xC9aF414fC65a46dEb62AF26F75799bFAF53F91e5-1779763576505
0xc9af414fc65a46deb62af26f75799bfaf53f91e5
- Realised P&L
- $175.20
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 626
- Open portfolio
- $44.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded626
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.39at 0.232Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?
- +$8.80at 0.502GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
- +$6.53at 0.185US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
- +$6.34at 0.594Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
- +$6.30at 0.390Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 14:40 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $232 in June? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-22 10:11 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 06-21 20:31 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 06-21 02:11 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 06-20 13:23 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 06-19 12:56 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-18 14:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.242 | $1.21 |
| 06-18 14:04 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 06-18 01:26 | Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-17 21:21 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 06-17 20:31 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 17:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 06-17 16:03 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 06-17 15:49 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 15:44 | Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |