leonardmelissa
0xc9aefd0daed1987762a550758590066dded558be
- Realised P&L
- $-1.79
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $16.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? · No | 0.760 | 0.720 | $12.59 | −$0.70 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.330 | $4.01 | −$5.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.53at 0.988Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$0.31at 0.980OpenAI browser in July?
- +$0.17at 0.991Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
- +$0.15at 0.995Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?
- +$0.14at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $120k in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 02:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999457 | $9.48 |
| 01-31 13:21 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.00 |
| 01-30 16:05 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.85 |
| 01-30 14:40 | Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.00 |
| 01-30 13:18 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.89 |
| 12-30 13:24 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.997999929 | $7.11 |
| 12-30 08:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.63 |
| 12-29 21:15 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999841 | $25.00 |
| 12-29 20:31 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $43.27 |
| 10-31 15:06 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.62 |
| 10-30 18:10 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.37 |
| 09-29 13:10 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.79 |
| 09-29 06:37 | Will XRP reach $5.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.28 |
| 09-29 01:33 | Will Microsoft have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.93 |
| 09-29 00:24 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September? | BUY | 0.997999989 | $10.70 |