pblowesq
0xc9a73ffbd4777c0c9dfeb26998f20e0b8ff6e76c
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $11.11M
- Markets traded
- 877
- Open portfolio
- $6.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded877
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $6.75 | −$2.25 |
| Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12? · No | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.96 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.90 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$541.03at 0.003Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$532.60at 0.009Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$456.62at 0.444Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?
- +$319.57at 0.007Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$275.47at 0.002Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 11:58 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.40 |
| 07-22 12:26 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.1785333333 | $2.68 |
| 07-21 16:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-17 14:15 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.75 |
| 07-15 13:56 | Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | SELL | 0.0565535714 | $3.17 |
| 07-15 13:54 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 07-06 12:24 | Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.026 | $8.81 |
| 07-06 06:03 | Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.033 | $1.65 |
| 07-04 04:12 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 07-04 01:14 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $62.09 |
| 07-04 01:13 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.1k |
| 07-02 23:52 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.007 | $329.00 |
| 06-30 10:08 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.149 | $1.49 |
| 06-30 10:07 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.163 | $1.63 |
| 06-29 23:31 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.999 | $299.69 |