chanrds
0xc9a1fd8f29aa4e4c94bfdc0cdcbbbc024fea8f8e
- Realised P&L
- $121.07
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $34.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.865 | $34.60 | +$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.10at 0.930Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$67.58at 0.920Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$36.98at 0.800Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$7.20at 0.964Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$4.62at 0.769UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:54 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 08-11 04:08 | UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.76 | $15.20 |
| 07-22 14:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 05-28 18:13 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.985 | $98.50 |
| 04-02 20:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7724207595 | $1.2k |
| 03-02 16:54 | Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8241237443 | $1.3k |
| 02-23 19:36 | Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $1.1k |
| 02-23 19:30 | Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9783079724 | $1.1k |
| 02-16 11:17 | Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.92 | $177.99 |
| 01-29 16:58 | Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 01-17 20:45 | Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.1k |
| 12-09 03:22 | Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 12-09 03:21 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.856138522 | $657.36 |
| 11-27 19:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? | BUY | 0.999 | $475.00 |
| 11-27 19:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |