CM.Lin
0xc99aa62b9bf0d95a89ee3f2c99b3c735f1b4bde7
- Realised P&L
- $-8.7k
- Volume
- $308.2k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $6.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10AM ET
- +$1.0kat 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10AM ET
- +$808.12at 0.481Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11AM ET
- +$802.45at 0.465Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8AM ET
- +$799.18at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 06:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 23:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-02 03:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999218 | $2.20 |
| 10-02 02:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 10-02 02:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999747 | $3.95 |
| 10-02 02:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999581 | $3.20 |
| 10-01 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999413 | $1.78 |
| 10-01 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999618 | $1.76 |
| 10-01 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999517 | $1.76 |
| 10-01 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8299996622 | $1.72 |
| 10-01 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999373 | $1.68 |
| 10-01 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7799996533 | $1.62 |
| 09-20 22:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 22:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $1.08 |