carlaroman
0xc99932ccd1669cde32c3c725d119bb12ea6de78e
- Realised P&L
- $53.53
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $15.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) · Real Madrid CF | 0.520 | 0.515 | $15.95 | −$0.15 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B · Natus Vincere | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.58at 0.450Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$4.96at 0.720Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
- +$0.67at 0.650Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$0.38at 0.270Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
- +$0.36at 0.920Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:17 | Dota 2: 1win vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $33.64 |
| 01-31 13:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $10.24 |
| 01-30 15:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999593 | $16.32 |
| 01-30 14:48 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.21 |
| 01-30 13:00 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.20 |
| 12-30 10:44 | Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.85 |
| 12-30 01:22 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.74 |
| 12-30 00:59 | Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.45 |
| 12-29 21:53 | Will XRP reach $3.20 before 2026? | BUY | 0.997999993 | $26.90 |
| 10-30 20:46 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.11 |
| 10-30 19:18 | Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $11.94 |
| 10-30 18:08 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9849999997 | $15.26 |
| 09-29 16:53 | Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.997999958 | $12.84 |
| 09-29 10:43 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.31 |
| 09-28 23:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.70 |