0xc995a75d750301e010e0d02a7e06b0046eb75e7b
0xc995a75d750301e010e0d02a7e06b0046eb75e7b
- Realised P&L
- $0.19
- Volume
- $66.12
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $5.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.385 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.730 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.785 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.490 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.750 | 0.585 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? · No | 0.490 | 0.220 | $0.45 | −$0.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$1.91at 0.349Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$0.87at 0.540S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 27?
- +$0.64at 0.610US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.59at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 19:00 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 08:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 23:13 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 03:09 | Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:49 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:49 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 02:31 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 23:51 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:28 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:48 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:06 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:21 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:20 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |