anotherpatrick
0xc984e539bdd2699e2a0a28bcd995aaf439c337ca
- Realised P&L
- $5.46
- Volume
- $806.5k
- Markets traded
- 137
- Open portfolio
- $33.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded137
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.399Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
- +$3.6kat 0.814Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
- +$3.3kat 0.820Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.748Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
- +$2.6kat 0.430Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.7 | $349.30 |
| 11-01 14:39 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $307.99 |
| 11-01 14:37 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6795448071 | $2.5k |
| 11-01 06:55 | Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? | BUY | 0.0954713144 | $101.39 |
| 11-01 06:09 | Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 11-01 06:07 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4841904557 | $808.54 |
| 11-01 06:06 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $19.65 |
| 11-01 06:06 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $42.57 |
| 11-01 06:05 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4288925368 | $239.06 |
| 11-01 06:04 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6583778349 | $1.3k |
| 10-28 20:22 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6573412301 | $1.5k |
| 10-27 18:56 | Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.22 |
| 10-27 04:17 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.46 | $74.52 |
| 10-27 04:16 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $76.50 |
| 10-25 18:15 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.965673231 | $1.9k |