PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc984689445B665273c96Bb711162c5ecbE12B332-1767893189122

0xc984689445b665273c96bb711162c5ecbe12b332

Realised P&L
$-21.93
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$907.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lisbon: Lisa Zaar vs Matilde Jorge · Lisa Zaar0.6740.640$393.59−$21.09
Catania: Michele Ribecai vs Radu Mihai Papoe · Radu Mihai Papoe0.5200.490$340.64−$20.70
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0860.585$83.07+$70.86
USD1 depeg by December 31? · No0.7360.940$63.87+$13.87
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8380.108$22.26−$149.65
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.8920.018$1.76−$88.15
Bucks vs. Hornets · Bucks0.4100.465$1.44+$0.17
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? · Yes0.0390.032$1.00−$0.25
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00−$4.54
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$29.28
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.1190.000$0.00−$20.29
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$2.50
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$8.10
Will Strategy (MicroStrategy) (MSTR) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In · Gothic0.3900.000$0.00−$51.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 18:11Bucks vs. HornetsBUY0.4099999968$1.27
10-11 17:48Lisbon: Lisa Zaar vs Matilde JorgeBUY0.66$115.84
10-11 13:30Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.9951579767$102.30
10-11 13:27Catania: Michele Ribecai vs Radu Mihai PapoeBUY0.5197771808$361.34
10-11 13:26Catania: Massimo Giunta vs Sebastiano CocolaSELL0.49$289.44
10-11 05:17Catania: Massimo Giunta vs Sebastiano CocolaSELL0.5$467.00
10-11 05:10Catania: Massimo Giunta vs Sebastiano CocolaBUY0.5099999996$390.00
10-11 05:09Catania: Massimo Giunta vs Sebastiano CocolaBUY0.51$387.60
10-10 18:05W35 Lagos: Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi vs Britt Du PreeSELL0.5$303.92
10-10 09:52W35 Lagos: Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi vs Britt Du PreeBUY0.5099999994$310.00
04-14 10:42USD1 depeg by December 31?BUY0.7358351729$50.00
04-13 18:41Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.32$33.21
04-13 18:40Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL0.0101970443$1.03
04-13 18:39Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.973$99.59
04-13 18:34Will Meta reach $730 in April?BUY0.9166369167$15.00