AnEggplant
0xc97d55697512187001ee0c993412d57232d1732b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $910.3k
- Markets traded
- 959
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded959
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.454Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
- +$1.8kat 0.229Trump wins every swing state?
- +$1.3kat 0.357Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
- +$482.86at 0.254Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary?
- +$331.78at 0.907Will Republicans have 53 seats in Senate after election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 20:39 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $10.08 |
| 09-17 20:39 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $13.47 |
| 09-17 20:30 | Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.50 |
| 09-17 20:28 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $12.92 |
| 09-17 20:00 | Will Nebraska have the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1159013649 | $36.00 |
| 09-17 19:54 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.1243101942 | $43.26 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.1117799836 | $32.66 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.0803867731 | $23.07 |
| 09-17 19:30 | Will the Republican Party hold 230 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.022 | $2.13 |
| 09-17 19:13 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:11 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-28 House seat? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.50 |
| 09-17 19:10 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat? | SELL | 0.0939887 | $9.40 |
| 09-17 19:08 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.34 | $20.74 |
| 09-17 18:50 | Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.1916666667 | $23.00 |