0xc97b30c79ce871b04a51b63f1db834a9c34b82ef
0xc97b30c79ce871b04a51b63f1db834a9c34b82ef
- Realised P&L
- $-3.71
- Volume
- $57.98
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $5.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.595 | $1.93 | +$0.63 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.775 | $1.38 | +$0.08 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.475 | $0.83 | −$0.47 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.145 | $0.79 | −$0.51 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.120 | $0.37 | −$0.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.55at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?
- +$1.03at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$0.81at 0.622Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$0.71at 0.649Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.759Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 23:16 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.4199998772 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 15:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.30 |
| 09-23 07:16 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998975 | $1.30 |
| 09-21 22:56 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999852 | $1.30 |
| 09-21 02:50 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 18:50 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999663 | $1.30 |
| 09-20 10:42 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999827 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 11:26 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3499999731 | $1.30 |
| 09-17 00:06 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499998519 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 16:05 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 08:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.30 |
| 09-16 00:04 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699998351 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 15:54 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499997115 | $1.30 |
| 09-15 07:53 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.30 |
| 09-14 23:45 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.779999916 | $1.30 |