deconsturctor
0xc970b62a20faee91e6b76b3ef5fa64e6a9be035e
- Realised P&L
- $14.19
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $249.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No | 0.976 | 0.970 | $79.46 | −$0.49 |
| Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.977 | 0.973 | $57.46 | −$0.27 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.987 | 0.979 | $56.78 | −$0.46 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the LA-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.979 | $55.80 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.931Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
- +$1.28at 0.978Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
- +$1.22at 0.976Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
- +$1.20at 0.960Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?
- +$1.00at 0.975Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 11:00 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.980999967 | $21.36 |