wigglew
0xc96e5287ab294ac0388c2ddb00180fc464cff1f9
- Realised P&L
- $59.0k
- Volume
- $11.71M
- Markets traded
- 629
- Open portfolio
- $14.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded629
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.559 | $8.4k | +$2.3k |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No | 0.543 | 0.805 | $3.0k | +$977.21 |
| Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026? · No | 0.870 | 0.920 | $2.3k | +$124.14 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.167 | 0.075 | $560.83 | −$687.93 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No | 0.499 | 0.835 | $214.59 | +$86.40 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.434 | 0.099 | $189.73 | −$647.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.7kat 0.340Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$76.6kat 0.440Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?
- +$74.6kat 0.360Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?
- +$74.5kat 0.390Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$70.0kat 0.337Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:31 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $124.50 |
| 09-15 23:31 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.6k |
| 09-14 00:09 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.1k |
| 09-13 23:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.07 | $44.91 |
| 09-10 19:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.40 |
| 09-06 16:32 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.45 | $29.7k |
| 09-05 23:04 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.25 | $13.54 |
| 09-05 22:45 | Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-09-05? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.3k |
| 08-30 21:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.046 | $46.46 |
| 08-30 21:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9347762599 | $444.79 |
| 08-30 21:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.9309740137 | $3.9k |
| 08-30 19:28 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.9899998958 | $95.0k |
| 08-30 19:25 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $80.9k |
| 08-30 19:21 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $150.83 |
| 08-30 19:19 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $352.00 |