wigglew
0xc96e5287ab294ac0388c2ddb00180fc464cff1f9
- Realised P&L
- $421.6k
- Volume
- $8.76M
- Markets traded
- 501
- Open portfolio
- $142.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded501
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$101.7kat 0.340Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$74.7kat 0.390Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$74.6kat 0.360Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?
- +$70.0kat 0.337Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$65.3kat 0.330Will England win on 2026-06-23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.23 | $143.92 |
| 08-02 21:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.1104790698 | $242.28 |
| 08-02 21:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $71.91 |
| 08-02 19:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $17.12 |
| 08-02 02:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.546911099 | $1.6k |
| 08-01 21:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.73 | $241.21 |
| 08-01 20:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.7 | $343.41 |
| 08-01 19:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.68 | $1.6k |
| 08-01 19:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 19:03 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.7k |
| 08-01 19:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.66 | $204.60 |
| 08-01 18:59 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.4k |
| 08-01 18:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $257.86 |
| 08-01 18:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.9499865319 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 18:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.945 | $208.84 |