PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

wigglew

0xc96e5287ab294ac0388c2ddb00180fc464cff1f9

Realised P&L
$421.6k
Volume
$8.76M
Markets traded
501
Open portfolio
$142.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded501
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.595$65.5k+$10.4k
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.405$44.5k$10.4k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9631.000$14.2k+$523.12
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4070.535$8.1k+$1.9k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5270.535$7.2k+$103.51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.3720.310$1.2k$238.39
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3520.205$819.91$589.79
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4340.304$586.52$250.53
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.2800.105$315.00$524.99
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? · Yes0.4020.053$76.44$503.60
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · Yes0.4140.075$15.97$72.12
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01? · No0.3700.000$0.00$185.00
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.23$143.92
08-02 21:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.1104790698$242.28
08-02 21:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.57$71.91
08-02 19:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.55$17.12
08-02 02:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.546911099$1.6k
08-01 21:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.73$241.21
08-01 20:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.7$343.41
08-01 19:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.68$1.6k
08-01 19:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.98$1.0k
08-01 19:03Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$3.7k
08-01 19:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.66$204.60
08-01 18:59Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.975$2.4k
08-01 18:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.67$257.86
08-01 18:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.9499865319$1.4k
08-01 18:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.945$208.84