0xC96B727A92F224709E8D42725c717a6d2a6b36fe-1790544349806
0xc96b727a92f224709e8d42725c717a6d2a6b36fe
- Realised P&L
- $-8.39
- Volume
- $679.90
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $33.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 28? · No | 0.614 | 0.515 | $21.30 | −$4.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 29? · No | 0.647 | 0.505 | $11.82 | −$3.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.44at 0.480Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 29?
- +$0.24at 0.189Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 29?
- +$0.00at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on September 29?
- +$0.00at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 28?
- +$-2.01at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 00:53 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.57 | $3.06 |
| 09-28 00:52 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.57 | $7.57 |
| 09-27 23:49 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.64 | $19.84 |