-JB-
0xc96aeabae8c81faf8d803201da1d2461cefc396a
- Realised P&L
- $109.6k
- Volume
- $60.65M
- Markets traded
- 6,391
- Open portfolio
- $32.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,391
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 15%? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $32.50 | +$0.31 |
| New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.4kat 0.117Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?
- +$5.2kat 0.920Will Biden finish his term?
- +$5.1kat 0.137Will Mike Rounds be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Dakota?
- +$4.4kat 0.984Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$3.1kat 0.820Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:13 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.999 | $11.35 |
| 08-02 19:35 | RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Spartak Moskva: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 19:35 | RFK Akhmat Groznyi vs. FK Spartak Moskva: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.999 | $191.36 |
| 08-02 17:52 | Will Silkeborg IF vs. FC København end in a draw? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.65 |
| 08-02 16:56 | Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 01:28 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.58 | $1.5k |
| 08-01 17:42 | Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $0.50 |
| 08-01 17:10 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala vs. FK Lokomotiv Moskva: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9719442601 | $14.65 |
| 08-01 04:05 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.999 | $7.7k |
| 08-01 01:37 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.61 | $3.7k |
| 07-31 20:51 | Birmingham City vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.998 | $5.8k |
| 07-31 20:45 | Spread: Dundee United FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $539.20 |
| 07-31 20:39 | Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $4.01 |
| 07-31 18:55 | FK Rodina Moskva vs. FK Rostov: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $610.39 |
| 07-31 18:55 | FK Rodina Moskva vs. FK Rostov: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $258.54 |