PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Iorex

0xc958249081df64c76fd2e522bab419508e185fa9

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$61.1k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$854.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.3580.565$854.68+$313.53
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$9.99
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$7.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 04:49Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.419999998$75.66
09-14 04:48Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.0884972086$79.74
09-10 17:24Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1799999998$117.35
09-10 17:24Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.382$124.85
09-10 10:21Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2$49.81
09-10 10:20Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.44$50.98
09-07 07:41Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3757796995$80.04
09-07 07:40Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.64$64.00
09-07 07:40Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.65$19.43
09-07 05:11Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3660213927$41.67
09-07 05:08Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?SELL0.62$43.36
08-28 07:32Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.1899999956$33.03
08-28 07:31Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.71$33.78
08-28 07:30Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.1899999979$73.03
08-28 07:29Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.2731693605$77.74