PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Parad0x658

0xc954be6828acc8654f7775dfa924fc73222a6609

Realised P&L
$-20.3k
Volume
$967.0k
Markets traded
225
Open portfolio
$712.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded225
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes0.3350.313$467.94−$32.89
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? · Yes0.6240.610$245.04−$5.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 15:39Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.6127742177$606.63
10-20 15:39Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?SELL0.315$1.57
10-16 18:26Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?SELL0.321$14.35
10-16 03:58Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.593$10.08
10-15 19:42Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.23$106.72
10-15 16:42Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.445$252.25
10-14 20:19Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.25$48.41
10-14 18:18Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.26$31.55
10-14 16:18Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.27$13.50
10-12 15:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?SELL0.62$3.10
10-11 02:54Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.18$151.20
10-10 19:02Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?SELL0.35$135.80
10-09 13:47Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.12$1.20
10-08 07:36Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.281$16.30
10-07 20:19Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?SELL0.3331185185$71.95