0xc94b5ca40b51e507db346fc3de59ea7c98c83977
0xc94b5ca40b51e507db346fc3de59ea7c98c83977
- Realised P&L
- $-3.5k
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.540 | 1.000 | $796.04 | +$365.96 |
| Will France win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.377 | 1.000 | $201.21 | +$125.40 |
| Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? · No | 0.570 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$21.48 |
| KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins · Kia Tigers | 0.800 | 0.996 | $17.99 | +$3.53 |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.254 | $10.16 | +$4.20 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.620 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.90 |
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.490 | 0.011 | $2.26 | −$98.62 |
| KBO: NC Dinos vs. Doosan Bears · NC Dinos | 0.480 | 0.549 | $0.80 | +$0.10 |
| Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$30.96 |
| Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt · Gonzalo Villanueva | 0.385 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$43.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$833.52at 0.540Cowboys vs. Texans
- +$534.85at 0.395Cardinals vs. Giants
- +$524.83at 0.472Palermo: Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca Romera
- +$481.24at 0.759Broncos vs. 49ers
- +$399.41at 0.470Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:25 | Will Ukraine vs. Hungary end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2667646214 | $31.02 |
| 10-05 20:23 | Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 10-05 20:23 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.3765868247 | $75.81 |
| 10-05 20:18 | Antofagasta: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nick Hardt | BUY | 0.3845967671 | $43.54 |
| 10-05 20:05 | Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.2373330029 | $19.15 |
| 10-05 19:11 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 10-05 18:35 | Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.54 | $473.65 |
| 10-05 16:26 | Will Cyprus win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6499999998 | $603.40 |
| 10-05 15:15 | Palermo: Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca Romera | BUY | 0.4599999963 | $37.44 |
| 10-05 15:15 | Palermo: Filippo Moroni vs Ignacio Parisca Romera | BUY | 0.4599999997 | $420.16 |
| 10-05 12:41 | W50 Heraklion: Emma Mazzoni vs Cristina PESCUCCI | BUY | 0.8567817291 | $617.02 |
| 10-05 09:41 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.4899999977 | $100.88 |
| 10-05 08:18 | KBO: Kia Tigers vs. LG Twins | BUY | 0.8 | $14.46 |
| 10-05 06:36 | Suzhou: Sofia Costoulas vs Darya Astakhova | BUY | 0.02 | $4.23 |
| 10-05 03:08 | Will América de Cali win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.12 |