youran.
0xc944a32eed5dce3458b7b7a14dfd37b0c62a1686
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $282.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,948
- Open portfolio
- $171.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,948
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.042Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?
- +$428.89at 0.349Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?
- +$405.20at 0.149Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 18?
- +$391.23at 0.056Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 6?
- +$366.14at 0.113Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.12 | $7.80 |
| 09-30 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1072921731 | $6.62 |
| 09-30 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2362307218 | $3.83 |
| 09-30 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2179887218 | $6.96 |
| 09-30 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.37 |
| 09-30 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.94 |
| 09-29 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.45 | $40.25 |
| 09-29 14:47 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 09-29 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $29.57 |
| 09-29 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $13.00 |
| 09-29 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.5070501475 | $22.35 |
| 09-29 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4976335878 | $13.69 |
| 09-24 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2801429276 | $5.68 |
| 09-24 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.5180208333 | $17.90 |