PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

youran.

0xc944a32eed5dce3458b7b7a14dfd37b0c62a1686

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$282.5k
Markets traded
1,948
Open portfolio
$171.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,948
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 15:06Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.12$7.80
09-30 15:06Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.1072921731$6.62
09-30 14:08Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.2362307218$3.83
09-30 14:08Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.2179887218$6.96
09-30 14:08Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.19$4.37
09-30 06:49Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.16$5.94
09-29 16:29Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.45$40.25
09-29 14:47Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 30?BUY0.2$4.00
09-29 13:51Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.41$8.20
09-29 13:51Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.41$29.57
09-29 13:50Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 30?BUY0.4$13.00
09-29 07:13Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.5070501475$22.35
09-29 07:13Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 29?BUY0.4976335878$13.69
09-24 14:30Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24?BUY0.2801429276$5.68
09-24 14:16Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?BUY0.5180208333$17.90