PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

123erty

0xc93c86f929a23f8f688d12db7ad2ed736ef652f1

Realised P&L
$-3.7k
Volume
$2.19M
Markets traded
388
Open portfolio
$27.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded388
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6280.855$8.8k+$2.3k
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? · Yes0.6880.855$4.4k+$857.06
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4870.485$3.0k$15.53
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2690.205$2.4k$740.72
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? · Yes0.7110.605$1.8k$320.36
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2270.155$1.6k$731.52
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2930.050$1.1k$5.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.065$744.75$3.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5390.095$675.99$3.2k
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3310.375$663.46+$78.70
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? · Yes0.5040.300$416.97$283.46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.8940.935$275.95+$11.95
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6200.560$230.31$24.67
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · No0.8800.905$226.25+$6.25
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2980.025$194.79$2.2k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 02:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$100.00
09-10 10:04Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0468127331$27.00
09-10 09:52Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$397.26
09-10 09:35Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4716119333$2.8k
09-10 07:16Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6199999984$100.00
09-10 07:16Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0691358023$4.00
09-09 01:51Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999997$100.00
09-05 09:10Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$55.35
09-03 09:41Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4794273642$190.00
08-27 11:27Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.26$106.42
08-26 12:44Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.595860936$67.10
08-26 02:38Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3$599.99
08-25 03:48Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30?SELL0.322897772$242.17
08-23 03:18Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.2650018182$233.20
08-23 03:17Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3261296763$362.66