123erty
0xc93c86f929a23f8f688d12db7ad2ed736ef652f1
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $2.19M
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $27.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.304Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.765Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
- +$4.8kat 0.438Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
- +$3.2kat 0.385Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
- +$3.1kat 0.618Will Russia enter Hryshyne by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 02:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 10:04 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0468127331 | $27.00 |
| 09-10 09:52 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $397.26 |
| 09-10 09:35 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4716119333 | $2.8k |
| 09-10 07:16 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 07:16 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0691358023 | $4.00 |
| 09-09 01:51 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 09:10 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $55.35 |
| 09-03 09:41 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4794273642 | $190.00 |
| 08-27 11:27 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $106.42 |
| 08-26 12:44 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.595860936 | $67.10 |
| 08-26 02:38 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $599.99 |
| 08-25 03:48 | Will Russia enter Stavky by September 30? | SELL | 0.322897772 | $242.17 |
| 08-23 03:18 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2650018182 | $233.20 |
| 08-23 03:17 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3261296763 | $362.66 |