123erty
0xc93c86f929a23f8f688d12db7ad2ed736ef652f1
- Realised P&L
- $14.5k
- Volume
- $2.26M
- Markets traded
- 391
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded391
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.304Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?
- +$4.8kat 0.765Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?
- +$4.8kat 0.438Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?
- +$4.1kat 0.634Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.2kat 0.385Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:36 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1705947692 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 09:36 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.8402275364 | $1.3k |
| 10-26 04:42 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0980272911 | $201.29 |
| 10-26 04:38 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.268807419 | $1.6k |
| 10-25 10:39 | Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | SELL | 0.2444635659 | $31.54 |
| 10-25 10:39 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0254896535 | $29.99 |
| 10-25 10:39 | Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1673902852 | $110.69 |
| 10-19 08:05 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6128886095 | $1.2k |
| 10-19 08:02 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5576927133 | $500.00 |
| 10-19 08:02 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3462775641 | $700.00 |
| 10-19 07:00 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1009855838 | $729.08 |
| 10-11 09:57 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1945643003 | $452.00 |
| 09-29 10:22 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $50.70 |
| 09-28 14:26 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $328.57 |
| 09-28 14:25 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0450181834 | $15.00 |