PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

123erty

0xc93c86f929a23f8f688d12db7ad2ed736ef652f1

Realised P&L
$14.5k
Volume
$2.26M
Markets traded
391
Open portfolio
$7.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded391
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5890.560$1.9k−$96.47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.9150.940$1.2k+$32.03
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.1710.155$908.59−$91.41
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2550.060$813.56−$2.6k
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3480.235$768.80−$369.62
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2930.032$692.72−$5.8k
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.040$452.58−$3.8k
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5390.055$377.61−$3.3k
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2980.017$131.18−$2.2k
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.280$82.74−$14.83
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1970.021$76.88−$662.67
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2910.029$66.97−$594.93
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1990.013$64.31−$959.81
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2980.015$48.04−$874.51
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4570.045$39.22−$358.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 09:36Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?BUY0.1705947692$1.0k
11-01 09:36Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?SELL0.8402275364$1.3k
10-26 04:42Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0980272911$201.29
10-26 04:38Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.268807419$1.6k
10-25 10:39Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?SELL0.2444635659$31.54
10-25 10:39Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0254896535$29.99
10-25 10:39Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1673902852$110.69
10-19 08:05Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?BUY0.6128886095$1.2k
10-19 08:02Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5576927133$500.00
10-19 08:02Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?BUY0.3462775641$700.00
10-19 07:00Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1009855838$729.08
10-11 09:57Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1945643003$452.00
09-29 10:22Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$50.70
09-28 14:26Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$328.57
09-28 14:25Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0450181834$15.00