uifaebfae
0xc93b9ec909e44d3ba0b14fbb14298e4a0255665b
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $247.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.060 | $247.53 | −$858.16 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up | 0.261 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.81 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.392Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?
- +$144.99at 0.710Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 21:14 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 05-11 18:40 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.19997553 | $999.88 |
| 05-01 16:03 | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | BUY | 0.2680147328 | $1.1k |
| 04-22 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.71 |
| 04-22 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.72 |
| 04-22 14:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $494.97 |
| 04-21 12:39 | Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi? | BUY | 0.391657705 | $3.7k |