StevAplaty
0xc935a3b3742358a323c6777c51e7cc56f38b74cf
- Realised P&L
- $49.27
- Volume
- $66.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,007
- Open portfolio
- $345.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,007
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.11at 0.327Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$57.91at 0.673Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$41.89at 0.763US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$40.95at 0.021Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$39.50at 0.090Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.06 |
| 09-29 13:56 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.09 |
| 09-29 05:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.04 |
| 09-29 05:27 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.68 | $16.99 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $15.68 |
| 09-28 14:18 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) | SELL | 0.38 | $17.10 |
| 09-28 14:16 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4866666667 | $7.30 |
| 09-28 14:15 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5133333333 | $7.70 |
| 09-28 12:45 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.15 |
| 09-28 12:44 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | SELL | 0.59 | $8.85 |
| 09-28 12:44 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.61 | $9.15 |
| 09-28 12:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $4.95 |
| 09-28 12:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.81 |
| 09-27 15:32 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.60 |