PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Rattlehead

0xc92dc182c79cb16dfc5688152d74208b0ecbe67a

Realised P&L
$-104.97
Volume
$156.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$99.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8550.847$50.3k−$461.55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9290.945$35.8k+$599.55
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.865$8.6k−$250.00
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0410.024$1.2k−$869.64
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8550.799$723.26−$50.69
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9300.935$691.45+$3.70
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7000.690$433.41−$6.03
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3150.310$310.00−$5.28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.2700.235$235.00−$35.00
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.9590.974$224.88+$3.44
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0570.034$167.50−$117.50
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9330.943$163.90+$1.65
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9300.905$146.83−$4.06
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0170.007$141.12−$178.63
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.6000.570$116.85−$6.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:292026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.95$1.9k
11-01 21:212026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.95$4.8k
11-01 12:56Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.808$774.11
11-01 11:44Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.802$1.9k
11-01 08:09Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.813$898.47
11-01 02:35Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.024$8.96
11-01 01:04Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.83$1.1k
11-01 01:03Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.023$15.92
10-24 00:142026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.92$0.92
10-23 13:362026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.9299999997$2.0k
10-23 13:342026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.9299999999$10.0k
10-22 11:502026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.93$1.9k
10-20 13:26Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?BUY0.057$120.92
10-18 12:21Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.93$97.65
10-18 12:21Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.933$162.25