PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

monkeycode

0xc9278de1729b39e70122e0a6670826169447be19

Realised P&L
$-512.03
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$51.86

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.400$47.04$11.76
Will Drake release a new album by September 30? · Yes0.3200.074$4.82$16.01
Grok 4.4 released by July 31? · No0.4900.000$0.00$70.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.7500.000$0.00$100.00
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.6650.000$0.00$372.57
Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7? · Yes0.6490.000$0.00$84.39
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · No0.0790.000$0.00$8.00
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? · No0.3900.000$0.00$159.29
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? · No0.5690.000$0.00$130.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 08:07Will Drake release a new album by September 30?BUY0.32$20.83
09-13 07:12Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?SELL0.0265$2.65
09-12 09:14Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.07$7.00
09-12 09:14Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.07$7.00
09-12 09:07Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 7?BUY0.6491223077$84.39
09-12 09:05US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$34.19
08-23 01:14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5$105.00
07-27 20:44US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.66$100.00
06-29 14:10Grok 4.4 released by July 31?BUY0.4899999994$70.00
06-04 06:17Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.0789999915$8.00
06-04 06:17US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.75$100.00
05-16 02:11Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?BUY0.5692330564$130.00
04-07 15:18Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?BUY0.7284330443$75.00
03-07 21:33Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?BUY0.3899999989$159.29
03-05 14:02Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.6791773201$172.57
Trader monkeycode · PolyBot Pro