Heyheyy
0xc925e4163022be7e84143ea833d3032dd56ef488
- Realised P&L
- $-72.87
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $13.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $13.79 | +$0.23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET · Up | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Down | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Up | 0.095 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - August 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET · Up | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Down | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Up | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET · Up | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.01at 0.069Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
- +$13.56at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$12.98at 0.148Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
- +$9.65at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
- +$9.05at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 13:37 | Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $13.56 |
| 08-31 13:23 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.986 | $9.90 |
| 08-31 10:57 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9869999993 | $9.91 |
| 08-31 10:54 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.34 |
| 08-31 10:51 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.44 |
| 08-30 11:16 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.936 | $15.25 |
| 08-27 17:29 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.9199999935 | $5.62 |
| 08-27 17:22 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.37 |
| 08-20 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 08-20 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0948748601 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $11.54 |
| 08-07 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |