rebro
0xc924497cd13539098b83804a3251c0e8246d3375
- Realised P&L
- $250.13
- Volume
- $108.4k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $184.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.245 | $184.63 | −$64.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.81at 0.889Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$40.01at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
- +$37.85at 0.209Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
- +$29.54at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
- +$28.80at 0.993Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 20:42 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999979 | $54.70 |
| 07-06 20:41 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3273006128 | $194.00 |
| 02-18 07:08 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $94.23 |
| 02-17 15:27 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $47.39 |
| 02-08 18:23 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.49 |
| 02-04 18:44 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $229.27 |
| 11-26 17:06 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 11-25 14:15 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $934.49 |
| 11-23 10:33 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.61 |
| 11-23 10:33 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-23 10:32 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-23 10:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 11-20 06:23 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | BUY | 0.99 | $947.89 |
| 11-20 06:21 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.1k |
| 11-17 22:06 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999998 | $3.4k |