tonycharles
0xc92363ce6dcbdf6250fbd68dd93c68cc5cf17154
- Realised P&L
- $-309.14
- Volume
- $107.3k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $286.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$162.64at 0.070Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
- +$94.73at 0.435Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$86.40at 0.079Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?
- +$46.78at 0.270Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$39.19at 0.279Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 22:06 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 09-25 15:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.097 | $1.07 |
| 09-23 20:31 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.039 | $24.96 |
| 09-20 18:55 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.27 |
| 09-19 12:06 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | SELL | 0.0187261551 | $0.94 |
| 09-17 20:26 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $1.03 |
| 09-17 19:32 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.081 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 19:31 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.82 |
| 09-17 19:30 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.39 |
| 09-17 19:30 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.28 |
| 09-17 19:29 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.081 | $8.10 |
| 09-17 17:02 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? | BUY | 0.046 | $1.01 |
| 09-17 17:00 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $1.01 |
| 09-17 16:21 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.058 | $3.05 |
| 09-17 16:19 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | BUY | 0.058 | $2.90 |