PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1512vutd

0xc91e5cb50ca38ca38208dcd25d7961b34a8d07dd

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$1.32M
Markets traded
345
Open portfolio
$297.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded345
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? · No0.3660.768$76.85+$40.25
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No0.3900.395$58.18+$0.74
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6300.785$38.02+$7.51
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.7100.350$18.86$19.40
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · No0.2800.329$16.43+$2.42
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6900.815$16.30+$2.50
Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? · No0.6301.000$16.00+$5.92
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · No0.8800.715$14.30$3.30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? · No0.4730.131$13.10$34.20
Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.4500.130$4.83$11.89
Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election? · Yes0.4300.240$4.80$3.80
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September? · Yes0.6400.240$4.80$8.00
Will Natus Vincere Make a Roster Change by December 31? · No0.6500.225$4.50$8.50
Will Roman Zarzycký be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · No0.4200.165$3.30$5.10
Will Aldo Ruberto win the 2026 Thunder Bay mayoral election? · Yes0.4200.150$3.00$5.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 05:12Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?SELL0.8017053415$109.87
09-01 08:41Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 in September?SELL0.29$2.04
09-01 08:39Will Anton Danko win the 2026 Poprad mayoral election?SELL0.49$9.80
09-01 08:35Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $192 Week of August 31 2026?SELL0.16$3.20
09-01 08:34Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $188 in September?SELL0.72$14.40
09-01 06:36Over $50M committed to the Linera public sale?SELL0.06$1.20
09-01 06:35Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 2?SELL0.17$29.58
09-01 01:17Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 1?SELL0.41$7.81
09-01 01:13Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.0487283384$7.65
09-01 01:11Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 1?SELL0.42$8.40
09-01 01:11Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 2?SELL0.49$12.27
09-01 01:06Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 1?SELL0.03$0.60
08-31 06:21Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 31?SELL0.48$4.79
08-31 04:58Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?SELL0.046$2.30
08-31 04:56Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $179 Week of August 31 2026?SELL0.913575$7.31