baxterteresa
0xc90d61130f6aa617a763293d58946e2e257eeae1
- Realised P&L
- $-56.44
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $83.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: James Madison (-5.5) · James Madison | 0.540 | 1.000 | $60.09 | +$27.64 |
| Will Ariana Grande win Artist of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · No | 0.650 | 0.620 | $12.23 | −$0.59 |
| Seahawks vs. Commanders · Seahawks | 0.730 | 0.765 | $11.52 | +$0.53 |
| Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? · Over | 0.850 | 0.002 | $0.03 | −$12.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.88at 0.530Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$5.61at 0.769Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 19?
- +$0.19at 0.989Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
- +$0.11at 0.992Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$0.10at 0.997Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:12 | Spread: James Madison (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5399999963 | $32.45 |
| 09-18 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.7599999951 | $18.48 |
| 01-31 14:06 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in January? | BUY | 0.9989998513 | $3.48 |
| 01-31 13:37 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.89 |
| 01-30 16:43 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.58 |
| 01-30 16:07 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.35 |
| 01-30 15:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.69 |
| 01-30 12:52 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.49 |
| 12-30 11:28 | Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.04 |
| 12-29 19:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.15 |
| 12-29 19:23 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999793 | $46.00 |
| 10-30 22:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | BUY | 0.995 | $18.77 |
| 10-30 21:08 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.60 |
| 10-30 20:54 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.81 |
| 09-29 17:19 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.14 |