0xc90807f3c0bEeF04EE7aEc3964FE6aFfAB9e696e-1771457370228
0xc90807f3c0beef04ee7aec3964fe6affab9e696e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $310.5k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.065 | $2.2k | −$2.0k |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes | 0.181 | 0.105 | $2.1k | −$1.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.362US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$236.09at 0.088Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$-109.81at 0.022Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$-931.91at 0.076Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 21:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.12 |
| 09-09 08:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.069999997 | $1.41 |
| 09-02 21:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999977 | $28.09 |
| 09-01 03:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $249.23 |
| 08-31 05:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999502 | $1.28 |
| 08-25 01:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $531.48 |
| 08-25 01:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.11 | $550.00 |
| 08-21 00:51 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999757 | $2.56 |
| 08-12 20:25 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.11 | $666.93 |
| 08-08 23:44 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999992 | $77.06 |
| 08-05 19:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999709 | $2.14 |
| 07-30 01:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999747 | $3.10 |
| 07-22 01:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999709 | $3.14 |
| 07-18 21:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1699999897 | $11.03 |
| 07-18 21:01 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.160937286 | $1.4k |